Welcome

First of all, welcome and thank you for visiting my blog... Here are a few things for you to ponder about... 1) Do you feel shy when posting your questions or comments on blogs because most people there are already experts? 2) Do you have problem finding or asking the most basic questions about the stock market? Well, you have reached the right blog... This is a blog for anyone who wants to learn more about the stock market. Particularly for beginers. However, some of you may find it too basic. However, I'm not here to teach or to lead... But as I have mentioned, this is a learning blog.... And learning is an ongoing process. So if you are patient enough and continue to stay with me, you will be able to see our progress as we share and learn more with each passing day. So if you have any questions or comments or suggestions, do feel free to post here. I will try to find the answers from other sources and experts elsewhere... And to those experts out there, please do drop by and give us comments and advices ya.. Thank you so much.. By the way, when you are free, you may visit another blog of mine that is about chinese tea culture... Do drop by and relax after a hard day of battle...

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

How to use Volume


How to use volumes…. This itself is long enough to write a few articles… :P first of all, how to use volumes depends on what method you are adapting to…. to start from basic, volume is formed when transaction is done… every transaction or every volume means an agreement of price between buyers and sellers…. Volume is like and indicator for the sustainability of trend…. To make it simple, it is like fuel for the flame… the flame represents the trend, no matter up or down… so, if you see volume dying down, it shows signs of dying flame too…. and vice versa… simple? :P

Now, homework….
1) Are the statements correct?
a. Low volume equals illiquid.
b. Low volume equals price is about to drop.
2) What is true low volume and what is relative low volume? What is the significance?

Ok, lets go a bit deeper, if we are using trends or phases… how do we incorporate volume into them? Basically, we can generally divide the trend into three types or phases:
3) Uptrend
4) Downtrend / Distribution
5) Range bound

How does volume come in? Well, as stated above, when we see price moving uptrend, a healthy one will be accompanied with increasing volume because this means more people agree and supports the increasing price… so we can say it is sustainable…. and vice versa…

How about range bound? during range bound, volume is also normally in range… why? Because less transactions involved… now, towards the end of range, volume will pick up… because there will be more and more people involved and more transactions are being done… this is called public participation…

Homework:
1) Does public participation or volume picking means that uptrend is next?
2) Revise a bit on supply Vs demand.

Ok, stop here first, leave the deeper stuff for later… :P do post your answers and questions if you don’t understand or require further information…


Regards and happy learning

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

What is KLCI?


Hello,

When we talk about the market, generally, we refer to the KLCI... however, do we really know what is KLCI, how is it calculated, what determine its movements and how the movements affect other counters? well, this may be very basic to most people, but i do think it is important to know the basics first so that we can understand the complicated.... :)

1) KLCI is calculated with this formula:

Current aggregate Market Capitalisation x 100 ­base­

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Aggregate Market Capitalisation


2) wat are the counters tat is used to calculate? the answer is in http://%20www.bursamalaysia.co%20m/website/bm/%20market_information/%20index_components.htm%20l


so, this also means tat, the KLCI does not represent the whole market, because not all counters are used to calculate it... some would prefer to use market breath... but then again, for TA readers, so far, i have not seen a chart tat uses market breadth.... wat to say use the beloved indicators on it? hehe.... tat is why, the closest you can get might still be the CI when you want to use TA... hehe... :P


and the CI is determined by the price and not the other way around... (questionable) that statement is theorically correct, but practical wise, it depends... i will explain more on this in the next article.... or else this one will be very long... hehe... :P


Regards

Saturday, April 5, 2008

Fundamental Vs Technical


Actually there have been quite a lot of arguements on which is better... but if you ask me, i think both are good methods. it just depends on the user's ­style­ and preference... :)

Anyway, what is the difference between the two? Well, FA looks at balance sheets and annual reports to make their picks. TA looks at the charts to make their picks.

actually, both have some very different perspective on "expensive" and "cheap"... hence time to buy and when not to buy...

if you were to imagine stock is a product, you might be able to understand these methods better. FA uses annual reports to determine the current and future potential of a company and sets a value for it... for example, by using annual reports, FA defines a value or the price the stocks is worth.... either now or in future (investments). so when the current price is higher than wat they value now or the future potential, they consider it as expensive... but if the current price is below their value, they call it cheap or discounted... so it will mean time to buy... that is why you find investors using FA averaging down...
TA on the other hand do not really focus on the price itself or the potential of the company, but rather on the balance between supply and demand. no matter how good or how bad a company is, there will be a time to buy and time to avoid... TA buys when there is demand for the stocks... or when the demand is starting to exceed the supply... which also means tat the price is going up... so, wat is expensive and what is cheap for TA users? hehe...
Basically, expensive is the price when the demand is getting lower, which is when the price will start to drop... and cheap when the demand starts to pick up... so, TA actually averages up and dont average down (normally). because as i said, it is about supply and demand, when price go down, it means the demand is less, so TA will avoid such stocks...

to sum up, FA values a point or a range of a price tat they think the stock is worth, anything more is expensive and less is cheap...
TA tracks a movement of price, so you can say there is no cheap or expensive, only demand vs supply... buy when there is demand...So, this is why investors using FA averages down but traders using TA dont...

Regards...